It’s safe to say that a lot of “expert” figures have proven themselves less than trustworthy in 2020. That they’ve been so spectacularly wrong shouldn’t be surprising. Many of them are the same people that didn’t see what was coming in 2016, peddled the Russian collusion hoax for three years, maliciously slandered Brett Kavanaugh, and have been wrong on one thing after another in the Chinese coronavirus pandemic. First they said it wasn’t anything to be concerned about and you were “racist” for bringing it up. Now they’ve slobbered all over one another in showing HOW BAD IT IS, and by the way, you’re a bad person for suggesting that maybe we’re overreacting now that we have a better understanding of the risks. It’s so asinine. Tucker Carlson laid a brutal beatdown on these people about a month ago.
A while back, just before the lockdowns began, I posted a guide to help you more easily figure out who you can trust. You can get the full guide by joining my Patreon page, but the shortcut includes the following:
- Those who have a better track record of making correct predictions are more trustworthy.
- Those least emotionally attached to a topic are more trustworthy.
There are other criteria waiting for you in the full post, but these two are the most important.
With so many people prattling bullshit, who are a few you can trust? Here’s a useful guideline, with a few people getting deserved shoutouts. In reading this list, you’ll get a speed dial of sorts if you ever need clear thinking about the world.
This list will continually expand as I encounter new people so you should join my Patreon to get the most out of it.
This should come as no surprise. Quintus has been someone I’ve linked to since this site started. Quintus takes the most pride in his translations of classical Roman writers like Cicero and Sallust, but he is much more than a translator. He’s also an essayist, podcaster, and cultural critic with a background as a Marine Corps officer and attorney.
For a recent example of his predictions, Quintus has been correct about the coronavirus lockdowns and, unlike me, was harshly against them from day one. Time has proven him correct.
I’ll never forget something he said a few years ago, either: “unreality is mandatory reality.” I can think of no more accurate, one-sentence description of our present-day culture, both before and during the pandemic. That he said it years ago is to be lauded on its own. He has never given bad advice.
I’ve linked Quintus’ site above. You can find him on Twitter here.
Richard Baris is a pollster and data journalist unaffiliated with the major media outlets. That’s also why he’s a lot more reliable than they are. His track record speaks for itself. He was one of the handful that accurately predicted that Donald Trump would win Pennsylvania and Wisconsin in 2016. He also accurately called many senate and gubernatorial races in 2018, including in Florida, when most poll and poll watchers like 538 were wrong.
He got Nevada and Arizona’s senate races wrong that year, but no one’s perfect. In both 2016 and 2018, his track record was far more accurate than the usual media’s polling. He is a conservative, but “doesn’t operate in narratives.” He was a guy on the right that said from the beginning that Mitt Romney “had no shot” in 2012, despite the excitement in the Republican ranks at the time from a huge showing in the “red wave” of 2010 (sound familiar?), revealing his relative emotional detachment.
Like Quintus, Baris was a skeptic of the lockdowns from the beginning.
This won’t surprise longtime readers. Scott Adams is best known as the creator of Dilbert. He’s second-best known for predicting that Donald Trump would win the 2016 election all the way back in the summer of 2015. He’s also been eerily accurate on a number of other predictions, like Donald Trump being a president who might be able to break the impasse with North Korea.
Scott Adams was one of the people who took the Chinese coronavirus seriously from January onward, but, to his credit, is now coming out against the draconian lockdowns, bringing up the trade-offs. This demonstrates nuance in his thinking and his ability to come down from intellectual ledges instead of covering his ass, which most “experts” refuse to do. His track record on this topic has, once again, been better than theirs.
Scott Adams also has a lot of useful advice to give, too. His book How to Fail at Almost Everything and Still Win Big, in particular, with its emphasis on systems over goals, has been helpful for me in constructing a lifestyle that’s more productive than it was before I read it – that was years ago.
He’s been wrong on a few things, notably his prediction that Kamala Harris would win the Democratic nomination, but again, no one’s perfect. He’s humorously remarked that if Biden picks Harris as his VP, he’s kind of right. The implication here is that Biden is being run by committee. Rumor has it that she’s one of the front runners for it, too. We’ll see.
You can follow Scott Adams on Twitter here.
Jared (Legends of Men)
Jared runs a site called Legends of Men that I’ve done a few guest posts for. While as astute a cultural observer as you would expect, Jared’s primary service is twofold:
1. He does a good job of poking holes in the typical advice you get from “Red Pill” figures. This is important, because their advice is often wrong in the bigger, strategic picture, and going full throttle on it will leave you unhappy in the long run.
2. He directs you to entertainment choices that aren’t soy. This sounds trivial, but these cultural mediums are often responsible for dictating our thoughts. The characters and worlds you immerse yourself in will to a large degree determine your values. That’s why it’s so important to break the left’s stranglehold on culture.
I’ll be doing my part with The Red War. Starting from now, you can expect to see some previews of it.
You can follow Jared on Twitter here.
We’ve reached the end of the preview. The full post, including one of the most accurate pollsters that few know about, will be coming on Patreon by the weekend. Sign up here (at the Hero tier) to get it. If you don’t want to go to the Hero tier immediately, you can see if you like the lower tiers starting at only $2 a month!